Jeff Stibel, an
entrepreneur and author of Breakpoint: Why the Web will Implode,
Search will be Obsolete, and Everything Else you Need to Know about
Technology is in Your Brain stirred a hornet’s nest with his provocative
take on the future of the Web. His article, titled "The
web is dead - and the app (thankfully) killed it" appeared in the
Wired magazine (September 2013 issue) and predicts that the Web is going to be
replaced by the app. He uses two, unrelated statistics as the basis for this
argument. Firstly, the average time spent on the web in the USA has declined
from 72 minutes in 2011 to 70 minutes in 2012. Secondly, data from comScore and
Alexa shows that the average time an iPhone user in the USA uses apps on an
iPhone has gone up from 94 minutes in 2011 to 127 minutes in 2012. The number
for Android users is similar. He further mentions mobility as one of the
reasons people are ‘using apps instead of the Web’, and information overload
from the Web.
There are arguments that can be advanced to
explain the decline in time spent on the Web. I will highlight a few that
actually point towards increased Web value. Firstly, information is being
packaged in a more contextual manner on the Web. This makes it easier to find
the information that you want in a manner that largely meets your requirements.
This therefore shortens search times, but without compromising the quality of
information on the Web. The ability to provide information that a searcher
wants and in the way that they want is being driven by technologies such as the
Semantic Web. Secondly, due to improved bandwidth speed and improved mark-up
language it now faster to access and download webpages and other files on the
Web. In short, the Web has become more efficient and users are thus able to get
more with less time.
Thirdly, the Web is able to draw
information from as wide and diverse a range of sources as possible. Apps on
the other hand tend to be islands of information that is not linked to other
information and data out there. While the quality of information you can get
from an app can be of a better quality than a website, the ability to source
information from multiple websites gives the collective an edge over the App.
Personally, I have never viewed apps as having the ability replace the Web.
Apps serve a different purpose, one that is narrower than the Web. Because of
this narrower focus, they will be of more value on specific things but not to
an extent that renders the Web obsolete.
Where I agree with the article is on the
use of mobile devices, where apps are more suited than the Web. Apps are much
easier to operate on mobile devices, and once users get past the security and
privacy concerns, they are more likely to rely on that particular app than the
Web. Mobile websites are being designed in a way that offers the information on
the Web at the ease of accessing it through an app. People will still need
information over and above what they can access on apps, and it is for this
reason that one should look at three options, the Web, the mobile Web and apps.
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